Sports & Motion Analytics
Intermediate
Expected Goals (xG)
Sum of scoring probabilities of every chance a team creates.
Formula
Variables
xGExpected goals
p_iScoring probability of chance i
Example
Shots of 0.1+0.3+0.6 xG: total xG = 1.0
Did You Know?
xG was popularised around 2012 and now appears on live TV broadcasts to judge who 'deserved' to win.
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