Weather & Calamities
Intermediate

Sea-Level Rise (Thermal Expansion)

Rise in sea level as ocean water warms and expands.

Formula

Δh=h β ΔT\Delta h = h\,\beta\,\Delta T

Variables

ΔhRise in sea level
hDepth of the ocean layer
βThermal expansion coefficient
ΔTTemperature change

Example

Warming water expands, raising seas even before any ice melts

How it works

When ocean water warms, each parcel of water occupies a slightly larger volume because its molecules move farther apart. If a surface layer of thickness h expands upward, that extra volume shows up as a rise in sea level, Δh, and the increase is proportional to both the depth of the warmed layer and the temperature change. The factor β tells you how strongly the water expands per degree, so the formula is a simple linear approximation for small to moderate warming.

When to use it

Use this formula when estimating sea-level rise caused only by thermal expansion of seawater, such as in climate studies or simple ocean-warming models. It is useful when you know the average warming of a mixed ocean layer and want a quick estimate before considering ice melt or other effects.

Worked example, step by step

Suppose the top h = 700 m of the ocean warms by ΔT = 1.5 °C, and seawater has a thermal expansion coefficient β = 2.1 × 10^-4 °C^-1. Δh = h β ΔT Δh = 700 × (2.1 × 10^-4) × 1.5 Δh = 700 × 3.15 × 10^-4 Δh = 0.2205 m Δh ≈ 0.22 m So the sea level would rise by about 22 cm from thermal expansion alone.

Common mistakes to avoid

  • Using the total ocean depth instead of the warmed layer depth
  • Forgetting that β must match the temperature units, usually per °C
  • Treating this as the total sea-level rise from climate change and ignoring ice melt and other contributions

Did You Know?

Thermal expansion causes roughly a third to a half of observed sea-level rise.

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Reviewed & maintained by the FormulaWon editorial teamLast reviewed September 2026